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CheckWeather CANotre-Dame-des-Prairies
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Notre-Dame-des-Prairies weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Notre-Dame-des-Prairies's high today between 15° and 17°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 15°, with a 55% chance of rain.

16°
15°
15°
16°
17°
18°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
17°
Clear
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Notre-Dame-des-Prairies weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Notre-Dame-des-Prairies swings 40°C across the year, from 27°C highs in July to -13°C lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1198 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
27°C average high
Coldest month
February
-13°C average low
Wettest month
August
1198 mm a year
Below freezing
5 months
January, February, March, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
8,230
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Notre-Dame-des-Prairies and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Notre-Dame-des-Prairies hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Notre-Dame-des-Prairies 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
16°
±2°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
16°
models agree
Wed
Clear
17°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
19°
±4°
Sat
Mostly clear
20°
models agree
Sun
Clear
19°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
18° 13°
models agree
Wed
Rain
21° 12°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 11°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
14°
±5°

Notre-Dame-des-Prairies, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -13°C), with roughly 1198 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Notre-Dame-des-Prairies right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Notre-Dame-des-Prairies climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
-12°
Feb
-1°
-13°
Mar
-5°
Apr
12°
May
20°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
27°
17°
Aug
24°
15°
Sep
23°
13°
Oct
16°
Nov
-2°
Dec
-1°
-9°

Which forecast is most accurate in Notre-Dame-des-Prairies?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
90±0.5°C97±1.6 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
85
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C95±2.7 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
70
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C94±2.9 km/t4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°14° to 16°±36%19% to 55% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±1°16° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°17° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Notre-Dame-des-Prairies

today, local time
Sunrise
06:37
Sunset
18:57
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Notre-Dame-des-Prairies today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Notre-Dame-des-Prairies today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Notre-Dame-des-Prairies today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Notre-Dame-des-Prairies and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Notre-Dame-des-Prairies?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Notre-Dame-des-Prairies (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Notre-Dame-des-Prairies?
July is typically the warmest month in Notre-Dame-des-Prairies, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Notre-Dame-des-Prairies get?
The coldest month in Notre-Dame-des-Prairies is February, when overnight lows average about -13°C.
How much rain does Notre-Dame-des-Prairies get?
Notre-Dame-des-Prairies sees roughly 1198 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather