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CheckWeather CAPort Colborne
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Port Colborne weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Port Colborne's high today between 19° and 23°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks rain around 19°, with a 88% chance of rain.

21°13°
19°13°
16°11°
17°12°
16°11°
18°11°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±2°
Env. CanadaGEM model
19°
Overcast
Feels 18° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 52%
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Overcast
Feels 17° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 57%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Overcast
Feels 21° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 42%

Latest for Port Colborne: Env. Canada (GEM model): 19° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 18° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 22° Overcast.

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Port Colborne weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Port Colborne swings 29°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -3°C lows in January, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1116 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 55 days a year at 25°C or above, 3 of them at 30°C or above, 105 frost nights, and rain on 148 days.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
January
-3°C average low
Wettest month
April
1116 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
18,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
55 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
105 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
148 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Port Colborne’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Port Colborne and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Port Colborne hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Port Colborne 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
21° 13°
±4°
Tomorrow
Rain
19° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16° 11°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
17° 12°
±4°
Wed
Drizzle
16° 11°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 11°
±2°
Fri
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
21° 10°
±3°
Sun
Clear
21° 10°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
18° 14°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
17° 10°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
17°
±4°

Port Colborne, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -3°C), with roughly 1116 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Port Colborne right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Port Colborne climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
Feb
-3°
Mar
-1°
Apr
13°
May
19°
10°
Jun
23°
15°
Jul
26°
18°
Aug
24°
17°
Sep
23°
15°
Oct
16°
10°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Port Colborne?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C93±3.5 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
77
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C92±3.8 km/t5877% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
68
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C94±3.0 km/t3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°19° to 23°±20%19% to 39% chance
Tomorrow±1°19° to 20°±30%58% to 88% chance
Mon±4°15° to 19°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±4°14° to 18°±7%8% to 15% chance
Wed±5°13° to 18°±12%19% to 31% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Port Colborne

today, local time
Sunrise
07:01
Sunset
19:19
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Port Colborne today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Port Colborne today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Port Colborne today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Port Colborne and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Port Colborne?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Port Colborne (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Port Colborne?
July is typically the warmest month in Port Colborne, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Port Colborne get?
The coldest month in Port Colborne is January, when overnight lows average about -3°C.
How much rain does Port Colborne get?
Port Colborne sees roughly 1116 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather