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CheckWeather CAPort Elgin
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Port Elgin weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Port Elgin's high today between 19° and 22°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 20°, with a 34% chance of rain.

20°
20°13°
15°10°
18°
18°
18°11°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low ·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 14%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low ·Rain 3%
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Port Elgin weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Port Elgin swings 27°C across the year, from 23°C highs in July to -4°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1121 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
23°C average high
Coldest month
February
-4°C average low
Wettest month
October
1121 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
7,862
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Port Elgin and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Port Elgin hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Port Elgin 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
20°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20° 13°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
15° 10°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
18°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18° 11°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
19°
±4°
Sat
Mostly clear
21°
±5°
Sun
Mostly clear
21°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
20° 10°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
18° 13°
±4°
Thu
Drizzle
15°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
15°
±9°

Port Elgin, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -4°C), with roughly 1121 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Port Elgin right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Port Elgin climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
Feb
-4°
Mar
-2°
Apr
11°
May
16°
Jun
21°
14°
Jul
23°
17°
Aug
22°
17°
Sep
21°
15°
Oct
15°
10°
Nov
Dec
-1°

Which forecast is most accurate in Port Elgin?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C92±3.9 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
86
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C95±2.6 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
72
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C92±3.8 km/t4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°19° to 22°±11%3% to 14% chance
Tomorrow±3°18° to 21°±15%19% to 34% chance
Mon±3°13° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°16° to 20°±3%2% to 5% chance
Wed±1°17° to 18°±9%10% to 19% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Port Elgin

today, local time
Sunrise
07:09
Sunset
19:28
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Port Elgin today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Port Elgin today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Port Elgin today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Port Elgin and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Port Elgin?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Port Elgin (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Port Elgin?
July is typically the warmest month in Port Elgin, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Port Elgin get?
The coldest month in Port Elgin is February, when overnight lows average about -4°C.
How much rain does Port Elgin get?
Port Elgin sees roughly 1121 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather