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CheckWeather CAScarborough
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Scarborough weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Scarborough today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 20°, with a 53% chance of rain.

17°11°
20°13°
16°10°
16°10°
15°12°
16°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°
Env. CanadaGEM model
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 11°·Rain 10%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low 12°·Rain 14%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low 10°·Rain 2%
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Scarborough weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Scarborough swings 32°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -6°C lows in February, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 992 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 54 days a year at 25°C or above, 6 of them at 30°C or above, 122 frost nights, and rain on 131 days.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-6°C average low
Wettest month
April
992 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
17,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
54 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
122 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
131 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Scarborough’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Scarborough and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Scarborough hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Scarborough 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16° 10°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15° 12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
16° 13°
±2°
Fri
Cloudy
20° 12°
±4°
Sat
Clear
20° 11°
±4°
Sun
Clear
21° 13°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
19° 13°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
19° 15°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
18° 14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
17° 11°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
16°
±3°

Scarborough, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -6°C), with roughly 992 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Scarborough right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Scarborough climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
Feb
-6°
Mar
-2°
Apr
12°
May
18°
Jun
23°
15°
Jul
26°
17°
Aug
24°
16°
Sep
22°
14°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-1°

Which forecast is most accurate in Scarborough?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C98±0.8 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
81
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C97±1.7 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C92±4.2 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°±12%2% to 14% chance
Tomorrow±2°19° to 21°±5%48% to 53% chance
Mon±2°15° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±8%2% to 10% chance
Wed±2°15° to 16°±14%10% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Scarborough

today, local time
Sunrise
07:00
Sunset
19:19
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Scarborough today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Scarborough today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Scarborough today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Scarborough and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Scarborough?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Scarborough (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Scarborough?
July is typically the warmest month in Scarborough, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Scarborough get?
The coldest month in Scarborough is February, when overnight lows average about -6°C.
How much rain does Scarborough get?
Scarborough sees roughly 992 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather