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CheckWeather CAThetford-Mines
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Thetford-Mines weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Thetford-Mines's high today between 13° and 16°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks light rain around 15°, with a 88% chance of rain.

14°
15°
13°
14°
16°
17°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
16°
Clear
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Mostly clear
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Cloudy
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Thetford-Mines weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Thetford-Mines swings 38°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -14°C lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1296 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 24 days a year at 25°C or above, 167 frost nights, and rain on 168 days.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
February
-14°C average low
Wettest month
July
1296 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
26,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
87/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
24 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
167 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
168 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Thetford-Mines’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Thetford-Mines and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Thetford-Mines hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Thetford-Mines 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
14°
±2°
Tomorrow
Light rain
15°
±2°
Mon
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Wed
Clear
16°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
16°
±5°
Sat
Partly cloudy
18°
models agree
Sun
Clear
18°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
17°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
17° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
20° 11°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
17° 11°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
12°
±5°

Thetford-Mines, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -14°C), with roughly 1296 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Thetford-Mines right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Thetford-Mines climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
-12°
Feb
-3°
-14°
Mar
-7°
Apr
10°
-1°
May
17°
Jun
21°
12°
Jul
24°
16°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
20°
11°
Oct
13°
Nov
-3°
Dec
-2°
-10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Thetford-Mines?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
85±0.8°C97±1.4 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
80
/100rank #2
58±2.4°C96±2.2 km/t9597% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
73
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C97±1.7 km/t4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°13° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°14° to 16°±32%56% to 88% chance
Mon±1°12° to 13°±22%8% to 30% chance
Tue±1°14° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°16° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Thetford-Mines

today, local time
Sunrise
06:28
Sunset
18:48
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Thetford-Mines today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Thetford-Mines today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Thetford-Mines today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Thetford-Mines and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Thetford-Mines?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Thetford-Mines (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Thetford-Mines?
July is typically the warmest month in Thetford-Mines, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Thetford-Mines get?
The coldest month in Thetford-Mines is February, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Thetford-Mines get?
Thetford-Mines sees roughly 1296 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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