Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather AUAlfredton
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Alfredton weather

Loading live data…

Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Alfredton's high today between 21° and 23°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 23°, with a 20% chance of rain.

22°
23°10°
12°
14°
19°
21°10°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Partly cloudy
Today 21°·Low ·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Alfredton weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Alfredton swings 20°C across the year, from 24°C highs in January to 4°C lows in July, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 650 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
24°C average high
Coldest month
July
4°C average low
Wettest month
October
650 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
9,013
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Alfredton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Alfredton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Alfredton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
22°
±2°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
23° 10°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
21° 10°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
23° 14°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
24° 13°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
24° 13°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Thu
Clear
16°
±9°
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 10°
±5°

Alfredton, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 4°C), with roughly 650 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Alfredton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Alfredton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
24°
12°
Feb
24°
12°
Mar
22°
11°
Apr
16°
May
13°
Jun
11°
Jul
11°
Aug
13°
Sep
15°
Oct
17°
Nov
21°
10°
Dec
23°
11°

Which forecast is most accurate in Alfredton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
82
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C98±1.0 km/t5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
78
/100rank #2
88±0.6°C97±1.5 km/t5374% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
72
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C87±6.4 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
GermanDWD ICON
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°21° to 23°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±4°21° to 25°±20%0% to 20% chance
Mon±2°11° to 13°±38%19% to 57% chance
Tue±1°14° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°18° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Alfredton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:19
Sunset
18:18
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Alfredton today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Alfredton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Alfredton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Alfredton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Alfredton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Alfredton (CheckWeather Score 82/100), ahead of the German at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Alfredton?
January is typically the warmest month in Alfredton, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Alfredton get?
The coldest month in Alfredton is July, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Alfredton get?
Alfredton sees roughly 650 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather