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CheckWeather AUSebastopol
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Sebastopol weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Sebastopol's high today between 21° and 23°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 23°, with a 20% chance of rain.

22°10°
23°10°
12°
15°
19°
21°10°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Partly cloudy
Today 21°·Low ·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
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Sebastopol weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Sebastopol swings 20°C across the year, from 24°C highs in January to 4°C lows in July, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 688 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
24°C average high
Coldest month
July
4°C average low
Wettest month
October
688 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
9,890
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Sebastopol and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Sebastopol hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Sebastopol 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
22° 10°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
23° 10°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
21° 10°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
24° 14°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
24° 13°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
24° 13°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 15°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Thu
Clear
16°
±9°
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 10°
±5°

Sebastopol, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 4°C), with roughly 688 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Sebastopol right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Sebastopol climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
24°
12°
Feb
24°
11°
Mar
22°
11°
Apr
16°
May
13°
Jun
10°
Jul
10°
Aug
13°
Sep
15°
Oct
17°
Nov
21°
Dec
23°
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Sebastopol?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
78
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.6 km/t4771% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
76
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C97±1.6 km/t4771% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
69
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C86±7.0 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°21° to 23°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±4°21° to 25°±20%0% to 20% chance
Mon±2°11° to 13°±38%19% to 57% chance
Tue±1°14° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°18° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sebastopol

today, local time
Sunrise
06:19
Sunset
18:18
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sebastopol today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Sebastopol today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Sebastopol today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Sebastopol and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sebastopol?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sebastopol (CheckWeather Score 78/100), ahead of the German at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sebastopol?
January is typically the warmest month in Sebastopol, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Sebastopol get?
The coldest month in Sebastopol is July, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Sebastopol get?
Sebastopol sees roughly 688 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather