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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Caloundra weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 28° in Caloundra today. Tomorrow looks clear around 26°, with a 0% chance of rain.

28°11°
26°12°
28°14°
25°13°
23°18°
22°17°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
28°
Clear
Today 28°·Low 10°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
29°
Clear
Today 29°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
28°
Mostly clear
Today 28°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
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Caloundra weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Caloundra swings 18°C across the year, from 29°C highs in December to 11°C lows in July, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1379 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
December
29°C average high
Coldest month
July
11°C average low
Wettest month
January
1379 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
96,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Caloundra and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Caloundra hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Caloundra 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
28° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
26° 12°
models agree
Mon
Clear
28° 14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
25° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
23° 18°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 17°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 16°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
23° 14°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
21° 15°
±2°
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±2°
Wed
Light drizzle
23° 13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
24° 14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
24° 15°
models agree

Caloundra, Queensland. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Caloundra right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Caloundra's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Caloundra weather by month

what to expect in Caloundra through the year

Here is Caloundra's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Caloundra by season.

Jan
28°
22°
Warm
Wettest
Feb
28°
21°
Warm
Mar
28°
21°
Warm
Apr
25°
17°
Warm
May
22°
14°
Warm
Jun
22°
12°
Warm
Jul
21°
11°
Mild
Aug
23°
13°
Warm
Sep
25°
14°
Warm
Oct
26°
17°
Warm
Nov
27°
19°
Warm
Dec
29°
21°
Hot

What Caloundra's weather is like through the year

Caloundra runs from warm summers, with December highs near 29°C, to cold winters, when July lows sit around 11°C (a swing of about 18°C across the year). January is usually the wettest month, and Caloundra sees roughly 1379 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Caloundra

The most comfortable time to visit Caloundra is usually April, May, June and July, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Caloundra?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C95±2.5 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C94±3.0 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
76
/100rank #3
92±0.4°C96±2.1 km/t4268% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Caloundra, scoring 86/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 82. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°28° to 29°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°25° to 27°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°27° to 29°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°24° to 25°±26%8% to 34% chance
Wed±2°22° to 24°±32%50% to 82% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Caloundra

today, local time
Sunrise
05:41
Sunset
17:42
Daylight
12h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Caloundra today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Caloundra today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Caloundra today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Caloundra and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Caloundra?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Caloundra (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Caloundra?
December is typically the warmest month in Caloundra, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Caloundra get?
The coldest month in Caloundra is July, when overnight lows average about 11°C.
How much rain does Caloundra get?
Caloundra sees roughly 1379 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Caloundra?
The most comfortable time to visit Caloundra is usually April, May, June and July, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Caloundra?
Rarely - Caloundra very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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