Skip to main content
CheckWeather AUCarrum Downs

Carrum Downs weather

Loading live data…
EuropeanECMWF
Light drizzle
Feels 6° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 88%
AmericanNOAA GFS
Light drizzle
Feels 6° · Wind 17 km/h · Humidity 75%
GermanDWD ICON
Partly cloudy
Feels 5° · Wind 17 km/h · Humidity 85%

Latest for Carrum Downs: European (ECMWF): 8° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 9° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 8° Partly cloudy.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Carrum Downs and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Carrum Downs is a small town of about 22,000 people in 07, sitting at 38.1°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Carrum Downs with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Frankston North, Seaford, Skye.

Which forecast is most accurate in Australia?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
90
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C95±2.4 km/t8491% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
82
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C93±3.5 km/t7385% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
Behind Windy
81
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C94±2.9 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Carrum Downs today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Carrum Downs today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Carrum Downs today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Carrum Downs and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Carrum Downs?
No single model is always right. European, American, German each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Carrum Downs forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested AU accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.

The forecasts Australians check

Australia's Bureau of Meteorology runs the national ACCESS model, but its open-data feed is temporarily suspended, so for now we compare the three global heavyweights and link you to BOM. We'll add BOM's own model back the moment its feed returns.

Nearby

More AU weather