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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Frankston weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Frankston's high today between 22° and 25°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 26°, with a 32% chance of rain.

24°14°
26°15°
15°
16°
20°
25°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 14°·Rain 16%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 14°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
25°
Cloudy
Today 25°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
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Frankston weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Frankston swings 19°C across the year, from 26°C highs in January to 7°C lows in June, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 734 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
26°C average high
Coldest month
June
7°C average low
Wettest month
April
734 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and May
Residents
37,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Frankston and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Frankston hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Frankston 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
24° 14°
±3°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
26° 15°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
15°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
25°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
28° 16°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
26° 14°
±6°
Sun
Partly cloudy
27° 13°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
27° 15°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16° 10°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
18°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
23° 12°
±5°

Frankston, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 7°C), with roughly 734 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Frankston right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Frankston climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
15°
Feb
25°
14°
Mar
24°
14°
Apr
19°
11°
May
16°
Jun
14°
Jul
13°
Aug
16°
Sep
17°
Oct
19°
Nov
23°
12°
Dec
24°
14°

Which forecast is most accurate in Frankston?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
85±0.8°C93±3.5 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
86
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C96±1.8 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
84
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C93±3.7 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°22° to 25°±16%0% to 16% chance
Tomorrow±3°24° to 27°±26%6% to 32% chance
Mon±2°14° to 15°±51%33% to 84% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°19° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Frankston

today, local time
Sunrise
06:13
Sunset
18:12
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Frankston today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Frankston today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Frankston today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Frankston and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Frankston?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Frankston (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the European at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Frankston?
January is typically the warmest month in Frankston, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Frankston get?
The coldest month in Frankston is June, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Frankston get?
Frankston sees roughly 734 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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