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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Dalby weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 29° in Dalby today. Tomorrow looks clear around 31°, with a 0% chance of rain.

29°10°
31°12°
32°11°
29°13°
27°15°
26°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Clear
Feels 10° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 45%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Clear
Feels 7° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 33%
GermanDWD ICON
11°
Clear
Feels 9° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 45%

Latest for Dalby: European (ECMWF): 13° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 12° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 11° Clear.

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Dalby weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Dalby swings 25°C across the year, from 32°C highs in January to 7°C lows in June, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 820 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
32°C average high
Coldest month
June
7°C average low
Wettest month
November
820 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
13,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Dalby and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dalby hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dalby 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
29° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
31° 12°
±3°
Mon
Clear
32° 11°
±2°
Tue
Clear
29° 13°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
27° 15°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
26° 13°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
25° 13°
models agree
Sat
Clear
25° 12°
models agree
Sun
Clear
26° 12°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
25° 13°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
26° 12°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
27° 12°
±4°
Thu
Partly cloudy
28° 14°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
27° 15°
models agree

Dalby, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 32°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 7°C), with roughly 820 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Dalby right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Dalby climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
32°
21°
Feb
32°
20°
Mar
29°
19°
Apr
25°
14°
May
21°
10°
Jun
19°
Jul
19°
Aug
23°
11°
Sep
26°
12°
Oct
29°
15°
Nov
30°
18°
Dec
32°
20°

Which forecast is most accurate in Dalby?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C97±1.3 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C81±9.7 km/t9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
85
/100rank #3
76±1.3°C95±2.6 km/t8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°29° to 30°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°30° to 33°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°31° to 33°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°28° to 30°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±2°26° to 28°±24%0% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dalby

today, local time
Sunrise
05:48
Sunset
17:49
Daylight
12h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dalby today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Dalby today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dalby today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Dalby and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dalby?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dalby (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dalby?
January is typically the warmest month in Dalby, with average highs around 32°C.
How cold does Dalby get?
The coldest month in Dalby is June, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Dalby get?
Dalby sees roughly 820 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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