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CheckWeather AUMorayfield
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Morayfield weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Morayfield's high today between 29° and 32°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 28°, with a 0% chance of rain.

30°11°
28°12°
30°13°
25°14°
24°17°
23°17°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
29°
Cloudy
Today 29°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
32°
Clear
Today 32°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
29°
Clear
Today 29°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
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Morayfield weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Morayfield swings 20°C across the year, from 30°C highs in February to 10°C lows in June, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1331 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
30°C average high
Coldest month
June
10°C average low
Wettest month
January
1331 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
21,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Morayfield and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Morayfield hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Morayfield 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
30° 11°
±4°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
28° 12°
±4°
Mon
Mostly clear
30° 13°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
25° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
24° 17°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 17°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
23° 15°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
24° 13°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
21° 15°
±2°
Tue
Cloudy
23° 13°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
25° 11°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
24° 13°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
25° 14°
±3°

Morayfield, Queensland is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 10°C), with roughly 1331 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Morayfield right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Morayfield climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
21°
Feb
30°
20°
Mar
28°
20°
Apr
26°
16°
May
23°
12°
Jun
22°
10°
Jul
21°
10°
Aug
24°
12°
Sep
26°
13°
Oct
27°
15°
Nov
28°
18°
Dec
30°
20°

Which forecast is most accurate in Morayfield?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±0.8 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
83±1.0°C95±2.3 km/t4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
72
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C97±1.7 km/t3665% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°29° to 32°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°26° to 29°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±5°29° to 33°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°25° to 26°±28%7% to 35% chance
Wed±1°23° to 24°±44%31% to 75% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Morayfield

today, local time
Sunrise
05:41
Sunset
17:42
Daylight
12h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Morayfield today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Morayfield today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Morayfield today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Morayfield and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Morayfield?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Morayfield (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Morayfield?
February is typically the warmest month in Morayfield, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Morayfield get?
The coldest month in Morayfield is June, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Morayfield get?
Morayfield sees roughly 1331 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather