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CheckWeather AUMorwell
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Morwell weather

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Cloudy,warmer tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Morwell's high today between 22° and 26°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 28°, with a 2% chance of rain.

24°12°
28°10°
15°
16°
21°
26°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 14°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
26°
Cloudy
Today 26°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
25°
Cloudy
Today 25°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
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Morwell weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Morwell swings 22°C across the year, from 26°C highs in February to 4°C lows in July, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 702 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
26°C average high
Coldest month
July
4°C average low
Wettest month
October
702 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
14,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Morwell and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Morwell hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Morwell 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
24° 12°
±4°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
28° 10°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
21°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
26°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
28° 13°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
27° 15°
±7°
Sun
Cloudy
22° 12°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
28° 12°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
17° 11°
±3°
Thu
Mostly clear
17° 10°
±9°
Fri
Clear
22° 11°
±3°

Morwell, Victoria is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 4°C), with roughly 702 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Morwell right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Morwell climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
25°
14°
Feb
26°
13°
Mar
24°
13°
Apr
18°
May
16°
Jun
13°
Jul
13°
Aug
16°
Sep
18°
Oct
19°
Nov
22°
11°
Dec
24°
13°

Which forecast is most accurate in Morwell?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.6 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
86
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C97±1.7 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
72±1.5°C87±6.3 km/t9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°22° to 26°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±3°26° to 29°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±1°14° to 15°±27%8% to 35% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±3%0% to 3% chance
Wed±3°20° to 23°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Morwell

today, local time
Sunrise
06:08
Sunset
18:07
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Morwell today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Morwell today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Morwell today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Morwell and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Morwell?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Morwell (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the German at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Morwell?
February is typically the warmest month in Morwell, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Morwell get?
The coldest month in Morwell is July, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Morwell get?
Morwell sees roughly 702 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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