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CheckWeather AUMudgeeraba
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Mudgeeraba weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 28° in Mudgeeraba today. Tomorrow looks clear around 28°, with a 0% chance of rain.

28°11°
28°14°
31°14°
25°15°
22°17°
22°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
28°
Clear
Today 28°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
28°
Clear
Today 28°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
29°
Fog
Today 29°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
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Mudgeeraba weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Mudgeeraba swings 17°C across the year, from 29°C highs in December to 12°C lows in June, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1201 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
December
29°C average high
Coldest month
June
12°C average low
Wettest month
November
1201 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
13,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mudgeeraba and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mudgeeraba hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mudgeeraba 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
28° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
28° 14°
models agree
Mon
Clear
31° 14°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
25° 15°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
22° 17°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 15°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
23° 15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 16°
±2°
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
24° 14°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
23° 16°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
24° 16°
models agree

Mudgeeraba, Queensland is at its warmest in Dec (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 12°C), with roughly 1201 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Mudgeeraba right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Mudgeeraba climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
28°
21°
Feb
28°
21°
Mar
28°
21°
Apr
25°
18°
May
22°
14°
Jun
22°
12°
Jul
21°
12°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
25°
15°
Oct
26°
17°
Nov
27°
19°
Dec
29°
21°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mudgeeraba?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
82±1.0°C95±2.4 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C95±2.6 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
78
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C95±2.5 km/t5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree28° to 29°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°27° to 29°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°30° to 32°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°25° to 26°±25%2% to 27% chance
Wed±1°21° to 22°±53%20% to 73% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mudgeeraba

today, local time
Sunrise
05:40
Sunset
17:41
Daylight
12h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mudgeeraba today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Mudgeeraba today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mudgeeraba today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Mudgeeraba and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mudgeeraba?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mudgeeraba (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mudgeeraba?
December is typically the warmest month in Mudgeeraba, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Mudgeeraba get?
The coldest month in Mudgeeraba is June, when overnight lows average about 12°C.
How much rain does Mudgeeraba get?
Mudgeeraba sees roughly 1201 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather