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CheckWeather CACharlesbourg
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Charlesbourg weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Charlesbourg's high today between 14° and 17°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 14°, with a 61% chance of rain.

15°
14°
14°
14°
16°
17°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
17°
Clear
Feels 15° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 36%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Clear
Feels 13° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 48%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Clear
Feels 13° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 44%

Latest for Charlesbourg: Env. Canada (GEM model): 17° Clear · European (ECMWF): 15° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 15° Clear.

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Charlesbourg weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Charlesbourg swings 39°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -14°C lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1361 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 30 days a year at 25°C or above, 2 of them at 30°C or above, 170 frost nights, and rain on 163 days.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
February
-14°C average low
Wettest month
August
1361 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and September
Residents
83,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
89/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
30 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
170 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
163 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Charlesbourg’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Charlesbourg and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Charlesbourg hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Charlesbourg 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
15°
±3°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
14°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Wed
Clear
16°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
19°
±4°
Sun
Mostly clear
20°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
16° 10°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
15° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
16° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
15° 11°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
12°
±3°

Charlesbourg, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -14°C), with roughly 1361 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Charlesbourg right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Charlesbourg climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-5°
-13°
Feb
-4°
-14°
Mar
-7°
Apr
-1°
May
18°
Jun
22°
12°
Jul
25°
16°
Aug
22°
13°
Sep
21°
11°
Oct
13°
Nov
-3°
Dec
-2°
-10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Charlesbourg?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
86±0.8°C95±2.4 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
88
/100rank #2
94±0.3°C97±1.3 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
81
/100rank #3
72±1.6°C93±3.3 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°14° to 17°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±1°14° to 15°±37%24% to 61% chance
Mon±1°13° to 14°±11%4% to 15% chance
Tuemodels agree14° to 14°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°16° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Charlesbourg

today, local time
Sunrise
06:28
Sunset
18:48
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Charlesbourg today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Charlesbourg today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Charlesbourg today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Charlesbourg and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Charlesbourg?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Charlesbourg (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the European at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Charlesbourg?
July is typically the warmest month in Charlesbourg, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Charlesbourg get?
The coldest month in Charlesbourg is February, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Charlesbourg get?
Charlesbourg sees roughly 1361 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather