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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Clarenville weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Clarenville today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 11°, with a 26% chance of rain.

13°
11°
14°
13°
14°
20°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
13°
Rain
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Light rain
Today 11°·Low ·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Showers
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 100%
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Clarenville weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Clarenville swings 33°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -9°C lows in February, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1421 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
February
-9°C average low
Wettest month
November
1421 mm a year
Below freezing
5 months
January, February, March, April and December
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
6,704
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Clarenville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Clarenville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Clarenville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
11°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
13°
models agree
Wed
Clear
14°
models agree
Thu
Clear
20°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
15°
±10°
Sun
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
20°
±4°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
20° 11°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
17° 11°
±4°
Fri
Light rain
16° 13°
±8°

Clarenville, Newfoundland and Labrador is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -9°C), with roughly 1421 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Clarenville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Clarenville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-7°
Feb
-1°
-9°
Mar
-5°
Apr
-1°
May
11°
Jun
17°
Jul
24°
15°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
12°
Nov
Dec
-3°

Which forecast is most accurate in Clarenville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±0.9 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C96±1.8 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
77
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C87±6.4 km/t5877% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°11° to 13°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°11° to 12°±11%15% to 26% chance
Monmodels agree14° to 14°±30%48% to 78% chance
Tue±2°12° to 14°±18%69% to 87% chance
Wedmodels agree14° to 15°±14%6% to 20% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Clarenville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:48
Sunset
19:09
Daylight
12h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Clarenville today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Clarenville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Clarenville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Clarenville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Clarenville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Clarenville (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Clarenville?
July is typically the warmest month in Clarenville, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Clarenville get?
The coldest month in Clarenville is February, when overnight lows average about -9°C.
How much rain does Clarenville get?
Clarenville sees roughly 1421 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather