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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Cold Lake weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 20° in Cold Lake today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 21°, with a 2% chance of rain.

20°
21°
22°11°
23°11°
19°11°
19°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±2°Mondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°
Env. CanadaGEM model
21°
Clear
Today 21°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Mostly clear
Today 20°·Low 10°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Cold Lake weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Cold Lake swings 38°C across the year, from 23°C highs in July to -15°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 467 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
23°C average high
Coldest month
January
-15°C average low
Wettest month
June
467 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Cold Lake and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Cold Lake hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Cold Lake 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
20°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
21°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
22° 11°
±2°
Mon
Cloudy
23° 11°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
18° 10°
±4°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
12°
±3°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
13°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
14°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
15°
±5°
Tue
Mostly clear
14°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
10°
±6°

Cold Lake, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -15°C), with roughly 467 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Cold Lake right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Cold Lake climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-9°
-15°
Feb
-6°
-14°
Mar
-4°
-13°
Apr
-2°
May
17°
Jun
19°
10°
Jul
23°
14°
Aug
22°
13°
Sep
19°
10°
Oct
Nov
-5°
Dec
-4°
-10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Cold Lake?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±1.4 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C95±2.7 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
68
/100rank #3
73±1.5°C95±2.6 km/t4268% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°19° to 21°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°20° to 22°±2%0% to 2% chance
Sun±2°21° to 23°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±3°22° to 25°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°18° to 20°±3%2% to 5% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cold Lake

today, local time
Sunrise
06:59
Sunset
19:29
Daylight
12h 30m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cold Lake today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Cold Lake today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Cold Lake today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Cold Lake and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cold Lake?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cold Lake (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cold Lake?
July is typically the warmest month in Cold Lake, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Cold Lake get?
The coldest month in Cold Lake is January, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Cold Lake get?
Cold Lake sees roughly 467 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather