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CheckWeather CASt. Paul
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

St. Paul weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 19° in St. Paul today. Tomorrow looks clear around 22°, with a 2% chance of rain.

19°
22°
23°11°
25°11°
20°10°
21°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
19°
Partly cloudy
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Mostly clear
Today 20°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Cloudy
Today 20°·Low ·Rain 1%
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St. Paul weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

St. Paul swings 38°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -14°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 438 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
January
-14°C average low
Wettest month
June
438 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
5,728
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around St. Paul and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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St. Paul hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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St. Paul 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
19°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
22°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
23° 11°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
25° 11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
20° 10°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
21°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
17° 10°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
12°
±3°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
12°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
14°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
15°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
13°
±3°
Wed
Drizzle
±4°
Thu
Drizzle
10°
±8°

St. Paul, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -14°C), with roughly 438 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for St. Paul right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

St. Paul climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-9°
-14°
Feb
-6°
-14°
Mar
-4°
-12°
Apr
-1°
May
17°
Jun
20°
10°
Jul
24°
14°
Aug
22°
12°
Sep
19°
Oct
Nov
-1°
-7°
Dec
-4°
-11°

Which forecast is most accurate in St. Paul?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C97±1.6 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C94±2.9 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
75
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C90±5.1 km/t4771% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°19° to 20°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±2°20° to 22°±2%0% to 2% chance
Sun±3°22° to 24°±4%1% to 5% chance
Mon±2°24° to 26°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°18° to 21°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in St. Paul

today, local time
Sunrise
07:04
Sunset
19:33
Daylight
12h 29m

Common questions

What's the weather in St. Paul today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for St. Paul today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in St. Paul today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for St. Paul and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for St. Paul?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for St. Paul (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in St. Paul?
July is typically the warmest month in St. Paul, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does St. Paul get?
The coldest month in St. Paul is January, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does St. Paul get?
St. Paul sees roughly 438 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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