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CheckWeather CAKingston
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Kingston weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 18° in Kingston today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 16°, with a 95% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

18°
16°10°
15°
16°
18°10°
17°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
18°
Clear
Feels 16° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 41%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Partly cloudy
Feels 14° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 52%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Overcast
Feels 15° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 41%

Latest for Kingston: Env. Canada (GEM model): 18° Clear · European (ECMWF): 16° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 17° Overcast.

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Kingston weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Kingston swings 33°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -7°C lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1096 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 49 days a year at 25°C or above, 2 of them at 30°C or above, 126 frost nights, and rain on 141 days.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-7°C average low
Wettest month
July
1096 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
132,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
49 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
126 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
141 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Kingston’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Kingston and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kingston hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kingston 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
16° 10°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 10°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
17° 12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18° 12°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
20° 10°
models agree
Sun
Clear
20° 11°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
18° 12°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
18° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
19° 15°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 13°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
16°
models agree

Kingston, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -7°C), with roughly 1096 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Kingston right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Kingston climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-6°
Feb
-7°
Mar
-2°
Apr
12°
May
18°
Jun
23°
15°
Jul
26°
18°
Aug
24°
17°
Sep
22°
14°
Oct
15°
Nov
Dec
-3°

Which forecast is most accurate in Kingston?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
97±0.1°C98±1.0 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
84
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C95±2.7 km/t7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C95±2.7 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±5°14° to 18°±19%76% to 95% chance
Monmodels agree15° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°17° to 20°±12%2% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kingston

today, local time
Sunrise
06:49
Sunset
19:08
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kingston today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Kingston today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Kingston today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Kingston and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kingston?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kingston (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kingston?
July is typically the warmest month in Kingston, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Kingston get?
The coldest month in Kingston is February, when overnight lows average about -7°C.
How much rain does Kingston get?
Kingston sees roughly 1096 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather