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CheckWeather CAGreater Napanee
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Greater Napanee weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 18° in Greater Napanee today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 17°, with a 88% chance of rain.

18°
17°10°
15°
16°
18°
17°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
19°
Mostly clear
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Greater Napanee weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Greater Napanee swings 35°C across the year, from 27°C highs in July to -8°C lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1081 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 69 days a year at 25°C or above, 12 of them at 30°C or above, 135 frost nights, and rain on 135 days.

Warmest month
July
27°C average high
Coldest month
February
-8°C average low
Wettest month
August
1081 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
16,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
69 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
135 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
135 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Greater Napanee’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Greater Napanee and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Greater Napanee hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Greater Napanee 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
17° 10°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
17° 11°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
19° 10°
±4°
Sat
Mostly clear
21°
models agree
Sun
Clear
21° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19° 10°
±8°
Tue
Light drizzle
19° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
19° 14°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17° 11°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
17°
models agree

Greater Napanee, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -8°C), with roughly 1081 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Greater Napanee right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Greater Napanee climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-7°
Feb
-8°
Mar
-3°
Apr
14°
May
20°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
27°
17°
Aug
25°
16°
Sep
23°
13°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-4°

Which forecast is most accurate in Greater Napanee?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±1.1 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
80
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C93±3.5 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C96±1.9 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°17° to 19°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°14° to 18°±40%48% to 88% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°16° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°17° to 20°±1%5% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Greater Napanee

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:10
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Greater Napanee today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Greater Napanee today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Greater Napanee today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Greater Napanee and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Greater Napanee?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Greater Napanee (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Greater Napanee?
July is typically the warmest month in Greater Napanee, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Greater Napanee get?
The coldest month in Greater Napanee is February, when overnight lows average about -8°C.
How much rain does Greater Napanee get?
Greater Napanee sees roughly 1081 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather