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CheckWeather CAQuinte West
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Quinte West weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Quinte West today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 18°, with a 76% chance of rain.

17°
18°10°
15°
16°
18°
17°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
18°
Clear
Feels 16° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 49%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Partly cloudy
Feels 15° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 49%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Overcast
Feels 15° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 47%

Latest for Quinte West: Env. Canada (GEM model): 18° Clear · European (ECMWF): 16° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 17° Overcast.

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Quinte West weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Quinte West swings 34°C across the year, from 27°C highs in July to -7°C lows in February, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 952 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 69 days a year at 25°C or above, 9 of them at 30°C or above, 134 frost nights, and rain on 133 days.

Warmest month
July
27°C average high
Coldest month
February
-7°C average low
Wettest month
April
952 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
44,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
69 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
134 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
133 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Quinte West’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Quinte West and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Quinte West hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Quinte West 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
18° 10°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17° 10°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
20° 10°
±3°
Sat
Clear
21°
models agree
Sun
Clear
22°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
19°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
19° 14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
17° 11°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
17°
models agree

Quinte West, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -7°C), with roughly 952 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Quinte West right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Quinte West climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-6°
Feb
-7°
Mar
-3°
Apr
14°
May
20°
Jun
24°
15°
Jul
27°
17°
Aug
25°
16°
Sep
23°
13°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-3°

Which forecast is most accurate in Quinte West?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±1.2 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
86
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C91±4.4 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C95±2.4 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°17° to 17°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±3°16° to 19°±23%53% to 76% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tuemodels agree16° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°17° to 19°±13%6% to 19% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Quinte West

today, local time
Sunrise
06:54
Sunset
19:13
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Quinte West today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Quinte West today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Quinte West today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Quinte West and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Quinte West?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Quinte West (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Quinte West?
July is typically the warmest month in Quinte West, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Quinte West get?
The coldest month in Quinte West is February, when overnight lows average about -7°C.
How much rain does Quinte West get?
Quinte West sees roughly 952 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather