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CheckWeather CARichmond Hill
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Richmond Hill weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 18° in Richmond Hill today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 20°, with a 55% chance of rain.

18°
20°12°
16°
16°
15°10°
17°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
18°
Partly cloudy
Feels 17° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 57%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Overcast
Feels 14° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 64%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Overcast
Feels 16° · Wind 15 km/h · Humidity 63%

Latest for Richmond Hill: Env. Canada (GEM model): 18° Partly cloudy · European (ECMWF): 16° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 17° Overcast.

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Richmond Hill weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Richmond Hill swings 33°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -7°C lows in February, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1005 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 66 days a year at 25°C or above, 11 of them at 30°C or above, 138 frost nights, and rain on 136 days.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-7°C average low
Wettest month
April
1005 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
202,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
89/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
66 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
138 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
136 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Richmond Hill’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Richmond Hill and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Richmond Hill hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Richmond Hill 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
20° 12°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15° 10°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
17° 12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
20° 10°
±4°
Sat
Clear
21°
models agree
Sun
Clear
21° 11°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
21° 11°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
18° 13°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
16° 10°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
16°
±5°

Richmond Hill, Ontario. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Richmond Hill right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Richmond Hill's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Richmond Hill weather by month

what to expect in Richmond Hill through the year

Here is Richmond Hill's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Richmond Hill by season.

Jan
-6°
Cold
Feb
-7°
Cold
Mar
-3°
Cold
Apr
13°
Cool
Wettest
May
20°
Mild
Jun
24°
14°
Warm
Jul
26°
16°
Warm
Aug
24°
15°
Warm
Sep
23°
13°
Warm
Oct
16°
Mild
Nov
Cool
Dec
-3°
Cold

What Richmond Hill's weather is like through the year

Richmond Hill runs from warm summers, with July highs near 26°C, to cold winters, when February lows sit around -7°C (a swing of about 33°C across the year). April is usually the wettest month, and Richmond Hill sees roughly 1005 mm of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 4 months (January, February, March and December), so Richmond Hill sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Richmond Hill

The most comfortable time to visit Richmond Hill is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Richmond Hill?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C94±3.2 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
75±1.4°C97±1.7 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
67
/100rank #3
67±1.9°C96±2.0 km/t4771% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Richmond Hill, scoring 89/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 73. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°17° to 18°±20%0% to 20% chance
Tomorrow±1°20° to 21°±20%35% to 55% chance
Mon±2°16° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±4%0% to 4% chance
Wed±3°14° to 17°±7%12% to 19% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Richmond Hill

today, local time
Sunrise
07:01
Sunset
19:20
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Richmond Hill today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Richmond Hill today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Richmond Hill today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Richmond Hill and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Richmond Hill?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Richmond Hill (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 73. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Richmond Hill?
July is typically the warmest month in Richmond Hill, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Richmond Hill get?
The coldest month in Richmond Hill is February, when overnight lows average about -7°C.
How much rain does Richmond Hill get?
Richmond Hill sees roughly 1005 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Richmond Hill?
The most comfortable time to visit Richmond Hill is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Richmond Hill?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 4 months (January, February, March and December) in Richmond Hill, so winter snowfall is common.

Nearby

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