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CheckWeather CARock Forest
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Rock Forest weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Rock Forest today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 14°, with a 98% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

15°
14°
13°
15°
17°
17°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
15°
Clear
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Mostly clear
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Rock Forest weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Rock Forest swings 37°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -11°C lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1161 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 46 days a year at 25°C or above, 5 of them at 30°C or above, 154 frost nights, and rain on 159 days.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-11°C average low
Wettest month
July
1161 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
36,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
89/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
46 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
154 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
159 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Rock Forest’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Rock Forest and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Rock Forest hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Rock Forest 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
14°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
16°
±6°
Sat
Partly cloudy
18°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
19°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
17°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±4°
Wed
Drizzle
22° 11°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
17° 11°
±5°
Fri
Partly cloudy
13°
±5°

Rock Forest, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -11°C), with roughly 1161 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Rock Forest right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Rock Forest climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-2°
-9°
Feb
-11°
Mar
-5°
Apr
12°
May
19°
Jun
23°
13°
Jul
26°
17°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
21°
12°
Oct
15°
Nov
-1°
Dec
-7°

Which forecast is most accurate in Rock Forest?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C98±1.1 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
88
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C93±3.5 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C96±2.1 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree15° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±6°11° to 18°±25%73% to 98% chance
Mon±1°12° to 13°±15%10% to 25% chance
Tue±2°14° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°17° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rock Forest

today, local time
Sunrise
06:31
Sunset
18:51
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rock Forest today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Rock Forest today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Rock Forest today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Rock Forest and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rock Forest?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rock Forest (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rock Forest?
July is typically the warmest month in Rock Forest, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Rock Forest get?
The coldest month in Rock Forest is February, when overnight lows average about -11°C.
How much rain does Rock Forest get?
Rock Forest sees roughly 1161 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather