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CheckWeather CASherbrooke
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Sherbrooke weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Sherbrooke today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 15°, with a 94% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

16°
15°
13°
15°
18°
18°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
17°
Clear
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Partly cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Sherbrooke weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Sherbrooke swings 37°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -11°C lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1243 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 47 days a year at 25°C or above, 5 of them at 30°C or above, 155 frost nights, and rain on 159 days.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-11°C average low
Wettest month
July
1243 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
129,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
85/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
47 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
155 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
159 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Sherbrooke’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Sherbrooke and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Sherbrooke hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Sherbrooke 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
15°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
17°
±5°
Sat
Partly cloudy
19°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
20°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
18°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±4°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
22° 11°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
18° 12°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
13°
±5°

Sherbrooke, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -11°C), with roughly 1243 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Sherbrooke right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Sherbrooke climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-2°
-9°
Feb
-11°
Mar
-5°
Apr
12°
May
19°
Jun
23°
13°
Jul
26°
17°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
21°
12°
Oct
15°
Nov
-1°
Dec
-8°

Which forecast is most accurate in Sherbrooke?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C98±1.1 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
77
/100rank #2
67±1.8°C96±2.1 km/t7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
73
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C94±2.8 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±6°12° to 18°±21%73% to 94% chance
Mon±1°12° to 13°±8%10% to 18% chance
Tue±2°14° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wedmodels agree18° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sherbrooke

today, local time
Sunrise
06:31
Sunset
18:50
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sherbrooke today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Sherbrooke today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Sherbrooke today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Sherbrooke and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sherbrooke?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sherbrooke (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sherbrooke?
July is typically the warmest month in Sherbrooke, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Sherbrooke get?
The coldest month in Sherbrooke is February, when overnight lows average about -11°C.
How much rain does Sherbrooke get?
Sherbrooke sees roughly 1243 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather