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CheckWeather CASteinbach
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Steinbach weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Steinbach's high today between 18° and 22°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light rain around 19°, with a 71% chance of rain.

20°
19°10°
17°
19°
19°
19°11°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low ·Rain 19%
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 76%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 22%
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Steinbach weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Steinbach swings 40°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -15°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 642 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 54 days a year at 25°C or above, 9 of them at 30°C or above, 178 frost nights, and rain on 101 days.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
January
-15°C average low
Wettest month
July
642 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
16,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
54 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
178 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
101 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Steinbach’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Steinbach and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Steinbach hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Steinbach 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
20°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light rain
19° 10°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Tue
Clear
19°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
22° 14°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
23° 14°
±5°
Sat
Drizzle
20° 16°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
18° 11°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
15°
±10°
Tue
Light drizzle
16°
±8°
Wed
Cloudy
16°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
14°
±4°

Steinbach, Manitoba is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -15°C), with roughly 642 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Steinbach right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Steinbach climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-8°
-15°
Feb
-4°
-14°
Mar
-2°
-12°
Apr
-2°
May
19°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
25°
15°
Aug
24°
15°
Sep
22°
13°
Oct
12°
Nov
-4°
Dec
-3°
-10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Steinbach?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C97±1.6 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
71
/100rank #2
81±1.1°C96±2.2 km/t4268% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
68
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C94±3.2 km/t2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°18° to 22°±57%19% to 76% chance
Tomorrow±2°18° to 20°±43%28% to 71% chance
Sun±1°16° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°18° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°18° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Steinbach

today, local time
Sunrise
07:07
Sunset
19:33
Daylight
12h 26m

Common questions

What's the weather in Steinbach today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Steinbach today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Steinbach today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Steinbach and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Steinbach?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Steinbach (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 71. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Steinbach?
July is typically the warmest month in Steinbach, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Steinbach get?
The coldest month in Steinbach is January, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Steinbach get?
Steinbach sees roughly 642 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather