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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Yellowknife weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Yellowknife today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 13°, with a 7% chance of rain.

13°
13°
15°
16°10°
14°
14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
12°
Cloudy
Today 12°·Low ·Rain 29%
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Light drizzle
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 82%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Light drizzle
Today 12°·Low ·Rain 39%
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Yellowknife weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Yellowknife swings 50°C across the year, from 23°C highs in July to -27°C lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 279 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 8 days a year at 25°C or above, 215 frost nights, and rain on 69 days.

Warmest month
July
23°C average high
Coldest month
February
-27°C average low
Wettest month
August
279 mm a year
Comfortable
2 months
June and July
Residents
20,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
85/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
8 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
215 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
69 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Yellowknife’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Yellowknife and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Yellowknife hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Yellowknife 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
16° 10°
models agree
Tue
Clear
14°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
14°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
11°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
11°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
10°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
±3°
Tue
Snow
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
±2°

Yellowknife, Northwest Territories is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -27°C), with roughly 279 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Yellowknife right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Yellowknife climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-19°
-25°
Feb
-20°
-27°
Mar
-13°
-21°
Apr
-6°
May
15°
Jun
18°
Jul
23°
16°
Aug
20°
13°
Sep
14°
Oct
-1°
Nov
-8°
-13°
Dec
-13°
-19°

Which forecast is most accurate in Yellowknife?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C97±1.4 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C91±4.3 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
78
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C92±4.0 km/t5877% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°12° to 13°±53%29% to 82% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 13°±7%0% to 7% chance
Sun±1°15° to 16°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±1°16° to 17°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tuemodels agree14° to 14°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Yellowknife

today, local time
Sunrise
07:11
Sunset
19:50
Daylight
12h 39m

Common questions

What's the weather in Yellowknife today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Yellowknife today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Yellowknife today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Yellowknife and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Yellowknife?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Yellowknife (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Yellowknife?
July is typically the warmest month in Yellowknife, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Yellowknife get?
The coldest month in Yellowknife is February, when overnight lows average about -27°C.
How much rain does Yellowknife get?
Yellowknife sees roughly 279 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather