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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Hornby weather

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Light rain,warmer tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 13° in Hornby today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 18°, with a 3% chance of rain.

13°
18°
14°
10°
14°-1°
14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
10°
Mainly clear
Feels 8° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 78%
AmericanNOAA GFS
Overcast
Feels 3° · Wind 15 km/h · Humidity 79%
GermanDWD ICON
Mainly clear
Feels 6° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 89%

Latest for Hornby: European (ECMWF): 10° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 6° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 9° Mainly clear.

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Hornby weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Hornby swings 19°C across the year, from 22°C highs in January to 3°C lows in July, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 719 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
22°C average high
Coldest month
July
3°C average low
Wettest month
July
719 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
8,790
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Hornby and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hornby hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Hornby 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
18°
±3°
Tue
Showers
14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
10°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
14° -1°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
14°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
17°
±4°
Sun
Snow
15°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
12°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
17°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
18°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
14°
±7°
Sat
Light drizzle
±7°

Hornby, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 3°C), with roughly 719 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Hornby right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Hornby climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
22°
13°
Feb
22°
13°
Mar
19°
10°
Apr
18°
May
14°
Jun
12°
Jul
11°
Aug
12°
Sep
15°
Oct
17°
Nov
18°
Dec
21°
12°

Which forecast is most accurate in Hornby?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C96±2.1 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
77
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C92±3.9 km/t5374% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
71
/100rank #3
76±1.3°C90±4.8 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°12° to 14°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±3°16° to 19°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±1°13° to 14°±2%95% to 97% chance
Wed±1°9° to 11°±29%49% to 78% chance
Thu±2°14° to 15°±13%6% to 19% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hornby

today, local time
Sunrise
06:23
Sunset
18:24
Daylight
12h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hornby today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Hornby today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hornby today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Hornby and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hornby?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Hornby (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hornby?
January is typically the warmest month in Hornby, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Hornby get?
The coldest month in Hornby is July, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Hornby get?
Hornby sees roughly 719 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

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