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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Mahora weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Mahora's high today between 19° and 22°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 15°, with a 94% chance of rain.

20°
15°
19°
22°
12°
14°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 10%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
20°
Fog
Today 20°·Low ·Rain 8%
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Mahora weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Mahora swings 19°C across the year, from 24°C highs in December to 5°C lows in August, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 973 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
December
24°C average high
Coldest month
August
5°C average low
Wettest month
June
973 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
9,090
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mahora and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mahora hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mahora 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
20°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
19°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
22°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
12°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
16°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
18°
±3°
Sun
Drizzle
20°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
13°
±3°
Tue
Partly cloudy
17°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
21°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
21°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
19°
±9°

Mahora, New Zealand is at its warmest in Dec (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 5°C), with roughly 973 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Mahora right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Mahora climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
23°
16°
Feb
23°
15°
Mar
21°
12°
Apr
19°
11°
May
16°
Jun
14°
Jul
14°
Aug
14°
Sep
17°
Oct
19°
Nov
20°
11°
Dec
24°
15°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mahora?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
G
German ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C94±3.2 km/t9597% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
84
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C95±2.7 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C87±6.6 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°19° to 22°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tomorrow±1°14° to 15°±69%25% to 94% chance
Mon±2°18° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tuemodels agree22° to 22°±50%35% to 85% chance
Wed±1°12° to 12°±57%33% to 90% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mahora

today, local time
Sunrise
06:08
Sunset
18:06
Daylight
11h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mahora today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Mahora today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mahora today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Mahora and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mahora?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Mahora (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the European at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mahora?
December is typically the warmest month in Mahora, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Mahora get?
The coldest month in Mahora is August, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Mahora get?
Mahora sees roughly 973 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

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