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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Manurewa weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 15° in Manurewa today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 14°, with a 94% chance of rain.

15°12°
14°11°
14°11°
17°11°
14°
14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Clear
Feels 8° · Wind 36 km/h · Humidity 81%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Clear
Feels 8° · Wind 33 km/h · Humidity 83%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Light showers
Feels 9° · Wind 32 km/h · Humidity 79%

Latest for Manurewa: European (ECMWF): 13° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 14° Light showers.

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Manurewa weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Manurewa swings 16°C across the year, from 23°C highs in January to 7°C lows in August, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1462 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
23°C average high
Coldest month
August
7°C average low
Wettest month
January
1462 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and May
Residents
41,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Manurewa and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Manurewa hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Manurewa 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
15° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
14° 11°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
14° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
15°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
16° 12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
16°
models agree

Manurewa, New Zealand. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Manurewa right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Manurewa's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Manurewa weather by month

what to expect in Manurewa through the year

Here is Manurewa's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Manurewa by season.

Jan
23°
17°
Warm
Wettest
Feb
23°
16°
Warm
Mar
21°
14°
Mild
Apr
20°
14°
Mild
May
17°
11°
Mild
Jun
16°
10°
Mild
Jul
15°
Mild
Aug
15°
Mild
Sep
16°
10°
Mild
Oct
18°
11°
Mild
Nov
19°
13°
Mild
Dec
22°
16°
Warm

What Manurewa's weather is like through the year

Manurewa runs from warm summers, with January highs near 23°C, to cool winters, when August lows sit around 7°C (a swing of about 16°C across the year). January is usually the wettest month, and Manurewa sees roughly 1462 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Manurewa

The most comfortable time to visit Manurewa is usually February, March, April and May, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Manurewa?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.3 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C95±2.3 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
86
/100rank #3
94±0.3°C96±2.2 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Manurewa, scoring 95/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 86. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree15° to 16°±75%10% to 85% chance
Tomorrow±1°14° to 15°±61%33% to 94% chance
Mon±1°14° to 15°±24%0% to 24% chance
Tuemodels agree17° to 18°±80%5% to 85% chance
Wed±1°14° to 14°±16%10% to 26% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Manurewa

today, local time
Sunrise
06:14
Sunset
18:13
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Manurewa today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Manurewa today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Manurewa today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Manurewa and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Manurewa?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Manurewa (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Manurewa?
January is typically the warmest month in Manurewa, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Manurewa get?
The coldest month in Manurewa is August, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Manurewa get?
Manurewa sees roughly 1462 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Manurewa?
The most comfortable time to visit Manurewa is usually February, March, April and May, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Manurewa?
Rarely - Manurewa very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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