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CheckWeather NZNgaruawahia
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Ngaruawahia weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Ngaruawahia today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 15°, with a 82% chance of rain.

16°
15°10°
14°
17°10°
14°
14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 74%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 65%
GermanDWD ICON
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low 11°·Rain 5%
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Ngaruawahia weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Ngaruawahia swings 18°C across the year, from 23°C highs in January to 5°C lows in August, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1421 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
23°C average high
Coldest month
August
5°C average low
Wettest month
January
1421 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and May
Residents
8,500
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Ngaruawahia and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Ngaruawahia hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Ngaruawahia 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
17° 10°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
14°
models agree
Thu
Clear
14°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
15°
±4°
Sat
Drizzle
15°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
14°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
15°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18° 10°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
17°
models agree

Ngaruawahia, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 5°C), with roughly 1421 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Ngaruawahia right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Ngaruawahia climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
23°
16°
Feb
23°
15°
Mar
20°
12°
Apr
19°
12°
May
16°
Jun
15°
Jul
14°
Aug
14°
Sep
16°
Oct
17°
10°
Nov
19°
11°
Dec
22°
14°

Which forecast is most accurate in Ngaruawahia?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C96±1.9 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
89
/100rank #2
92±0.4°C94±2.9 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C87±6.3 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 16°±69%5% to 74% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree15° to 15°±64%18% to 82% chance
Monmodels agree14° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±50%15% to 65% chance
Wed±1°14° to 14°±23%3% to 26% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ngaruawahia

today, local time
Sunrise
06:13
Sunset
18:12
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ngaruawahia today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Ngaruawahia today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ngaruawahia today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Ngaruawahia and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ngaruawahia?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ngaruawahia (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the German at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ngaruawahia?
January is typically the warmest month in Ngaruawahia, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Ngaruawahia get?
The coldest month in Ngaruawahia is August, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Ngaruawahia get?
Ngaruawahia sees roughly 1421 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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