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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Barnstaple weather

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Drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 18° in Barnstaple today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 18°, with a 45% chance of rain.

18°15°
18°12°
19°10°
21°12°
18°11°
21°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±6°
Met OfficeUKMO model
17°
Light drizzle
Feels 17° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 90%
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Overcast
Feels 17° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Overcast
Feels 14° · Wind 16 mph · Humidity 87%

Latest for Barnstaple: Met Office (UKMO model): 17° Light drizzle · European (ECMWF): 17° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 17° Overcast.

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Barnstaple weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for South West England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for South West England…

Barnstaple weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Barnstaple swings 17°C across the year, from 19°C highs in June to 2°C lows in January, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1631 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 7 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 15 frost nights, and rain on 194 days.

Warmest month
June
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
March
1631 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
32,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
83/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
7 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
15 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
194 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Barnstaple’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Barnstaple and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Barnstaple hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Barnstaple 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
18° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
18° 12°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
21° 12°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
18° 11°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
21° 10°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±9°
Sat
Light drizzle
18° 12°
±9°
Sun
Cloudy
19° 12°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 11°
±2°
Tue
Drizzle
21° 11°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
25° 10°
±12°
Thu
Drizzle
18° 13°
±3°
Fri
Light rain
16° 12°
±5°

Barnstaple, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1631 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Barnstaple right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Barnstaple climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
16°
Jun
19°
11°
Jul
18°
12°
Aug
19°
13°
Sep
18°
12°
Oct
15°
10°
Nov
11°
Dec
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Barnstaple?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
84±0.9°C97±0.9 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
81
/100rank #2
77±1.3°C93±2.3 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
81±1.0°C91±2.8 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree18° to 18°±19%81% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°17° to 18°±5%40% to 45% chance
Mon±2°18° to 20°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tue±3°20° to 23°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±3°17° to 20°±35%0% to 35% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Barnstaple

today, local time
Sunrise
06:57
Sunset
19:21
Daylight
12h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Barnstaple today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Barnstaple today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Barnstaple today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Barnstaple and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Barnstaple?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Barnstaple (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the Met Office at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Barnstaple?
June is typically the warmest month in Barnstaple, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Barnstaple get?
The coldest month in Barnstaple is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Barnstaple get?
Barnstaple sees roughly 1631 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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