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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Leeds weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 19° in Leeds today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 17°, with a 2% chance of rain.

19°14°
17°12°
19°11°
21°14°
19°11°
18°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low 15°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 15°·Rain 49%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low 14°·Rain 97%
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Leeds weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Yorkshire & Humber

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Yorkshire & Humber…

Leeds weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Leeds swings 17°C across the year, from 19°C highs in June to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 995 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 8 days a year at 25°C or above, 33 frost nights, and rain on 154 days.

Warmest month
June
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
995 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
536,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
88/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
8 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
33 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
154 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Leeds’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Leeds and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Leeds in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Leeds, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Where are you going?

Leeds hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Leeds 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
19° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
17° 12°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
21° 14°
±3°
Wed
Rain
19° 11°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
19° 11°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
18° 11°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
20° 10°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
22° 12°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
18° 13°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
17° 10°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
21° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 14°
±4°

Leeds, England. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Leeds right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Leeds's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Leeds weather by month

what to expect in Leeds through the year

Here is Leeds's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Leeds by season.

Jan
Cold
Feb
Cool
Mar
Cool
Apr
12°
Cool
May
17°
Mild
Jun
19°
10°
Mild
Jul
19°
12°
Mild
Aug
19°
12°
Mild
Sep
18°
11°
Mild
Oct
14°
Cool
Wettest
Nov
Cool
Dec
Cool

What Leeds's weather is like through the year

Leeds runs from warm summers, with June highs near 19°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 2°C (a swing of about 17°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Leeds sees roughly 995 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Leeds

The most comfortable time to visit Leeds is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Leeds?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C98±0.7 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
78
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C96±1.2 mph5877% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
76±1.3°C96±1.2 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Leeds, scoring 88/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Met Office at 78. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°18° to 19°±48%49% to 97% chance
Tomorrow±1°17° to 17°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±1°19° to 20°±4%2% to 6% chance
Tue±3°20° to 23°±4%2% to 6% chance
Wed±4°17° to 21°±15%14% to 29% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Leeds

today, local time
Sunrise
06:46
Sunset
19:12
Daylight
12h 26m

Common questions

What's the weather in Leeds today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Leeds today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Leeds today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Leeds and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Leeds?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Leeds (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the Met Office at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Leeds?
June is typically the warmest month in Leeds, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Leeds get?
The coldest month in Leeds is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Leeds get?
Leeds sees roughly 995 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Leeds?
The most comfortable time to visit Leeds is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Leeds?
Rarely - Leeds very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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