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CheckWeather UKBarry Island
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Barry Island weather

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Light rain,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 19° in Barry Island today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 18°, with a 24% chance of rain.

19°16°
18°12°
20°10°
21°13°
20°13°
20°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±5°
Met OfficeUKMO model
17°
Overcast
Feels 16° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 79%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Feels 15° · Wind 13 mph · Humidity 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Overcast
Feels 13° · Wind 16 mph · Humidity 82%

Latest for Barry Island: Met Office (UKMO model): 17° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 16° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 16° Overcast.

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Barry Island weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Wales

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Wales…

Barry Island weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Barry Island swings 17°C across the year, from 20°C highs in August to 3°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1368 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 7 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 15 frost nights, and rain on 168 days.

Warmest month
August
20°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
October
1368 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
55,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
87/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
7 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
15 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
168 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Barry Island’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Barry Island and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Barry Island hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Barry Island 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
19° 16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
18° 12°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
20° 10°
±3°
Tue
Fog
21° 13°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
20° 13°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 10°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
21° 13°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
19° 12°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 12°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 11°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
22° 11°
±9°
Thu
Drizzle
19° 12°
±3°
Fri
Rain
17° 12°
models agree

Barry Island, Wales is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1368 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Barry Island right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Barry Island climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
17°
10°
Jun
19°
12°
Jul
19°
14°
Aug
20°
14°
Sep
19°
13°
Oct
15°
11°
Nov
11°
Dec
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Barry Island?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
90±0.5°C90±3.0 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
83
/100rank #2
92±0.4°C93±2.1 mph6581% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C95±1.5 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°18° to 19°±29%71% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°18° to 18°models agree24% to 24% chance
Mon±3°19° to 22°±14%0% to 14% chance
Tue±3°20° to 23°±12%0% to 12% chance
Wed±4°18° to 22°±21%3% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Barry Island

today, local time
Sunrise
06:54
Sunset
19:18
Daylight
12h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Barry Island today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Barry Island today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Barry Island today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Barry Island and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Barry Island?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Barry Island (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the Met Office at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Barry Island?
August is typically the warmest month in Barry Island, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Barry Island get?
The coldest month in Barry Island is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Barry Island get?
Barry Island sees roughly 1368 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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