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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Billericay weather

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Light rain,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 22° in Billericay today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 19°, with a 20% chance of rain.

22°16°
19°12°
21°
23°13°
22°13°
20°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
19°
Overcast
Feels 18° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 90%
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Overcast
Feels 16° · Wind 13 mph · Humidity 79%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Overcast
Feels 16° · Wind 17 mph · Humidity 79%

Latest for Billericay: Met Office (UKMO model): 19° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 18° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 18° Overcast.

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Billericay weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for London & South East England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for London & South East England…

Billericay weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Billericay swings 20°C across the year, from 22°C highs in August to 2°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 822 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 18 days a year at 25°C or above, 2 of them at 30°C or above, 25 frost nights, and rain on 129 days.

Warmest month
August
22°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
July
822 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
36,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
81/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
18 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
25 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
129 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Billericay’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Billericay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Billericay hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Billericay 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
22° 16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
19° 12°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
21°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
23° 13°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
22° 13°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 10°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 12°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
19° 12°
±7°
Sun
Cloudy
21° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
25° 14°
±3°
Tue
Light rain
24° 13°
±3°
Wed
Light rain
24° 13°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
21° 14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 14°
±4°

Billericay, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 822 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Billericay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Billericay climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
11°
Apr
13°
May
17°
Jun
21°
12°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
21°
13°
Oct
16°
10°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Billericay?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
81
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C97±0.9 mph5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
74
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C97±0.8 mph3665% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
68
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C90±3.0 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°21° to 22°±43%16% to 59% chance
Tomorrow±1°18° to 19°±1%19% to 20% chance
Mon±2°20° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°22° to 25°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±5°19° to 24°±6%10% to 16% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Billericay

today, local time
Sunrise
06:39
Sunset
19:03
Daylight
12h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Billericay today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Billericay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Billericay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Billericay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Billericay?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Billericay (CheckWeather Score 81/100), ahead of the Met Office at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Billericay?
August is typically the warmest month in Billericay, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Billericay get?
The coldest month in Billericay is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Billericay get?
Billericay sees roughly 822 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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