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CheckWeather UKBlackley

Blackley weather

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Met OfficeUKMO model
16°
Overcast
Feels 15° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 74%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Feels 14° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 74%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Overcast
Feels 13° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 68%

Latest for Blackley: Met Office (UKMO model): 16° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 16° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 16° Overcast.

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Blackley weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for North West England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for North West England…

Blackley weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Blackley swings 17°C across the year, from 19°C highs in June to 2°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1436 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 8 days a year at 25°C or above, 37 frost nights, and rain on 195 days.

Warmest month
June
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
July
1436 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
10,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
8 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
37 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
195 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Blackley’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Blackley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Blackley hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Blackley 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Blackley, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1436 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Blackley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Blackley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
17°
Jun
19°
10°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
14°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Blackley?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±0.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
85
/100rank #2
90±0.5°C97±1.0 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
78±1.2°C96±1.2 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Blackley today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Blackley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Blackley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Blackley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Blackley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Blackley (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Met Office at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Blackley?
June is typically the warmest month in Blackley, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Blackley get?
The coldest month in Blackley is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Blackley get?
Blackley sees roughly 1436 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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