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CheckWeather UKCoalville
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Coalville weather

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Light drizzle,cooler tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in Coalville today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 17°, with a 6% chance of rain.

21°15°
17°
21°
22°13°
19°11°
19°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±5°
Met OfficeUKMO model
16°
Overcast
Feels 13° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 63%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Partly cloudy
Feels 13° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 68%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Overcast
Feels 12° · Wind 14 mph · Humidity 69%

Latest for Coalville: Met Office (UKMO model): 16° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 15° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 15° Overcast.

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Coalville weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for East Midlands

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for East Midlands…

Coalville weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Coalville swings 18°C across the year, from 20°C highs in July to 2°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 956 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 11 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 32 frost nights, and rain on 147 days.

Warmest month
July
20°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
July
956 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
38,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
11 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
32 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
147 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Coalville’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Coalville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Coalville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Coalville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
21° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
21°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
22° 13°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
19° 11°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
19°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 11°
±8°
Sat
Cloudy
18° 11°
±7°
Sun
Cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
24° 11°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 12°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
24° 10°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
17° 11°
models agree

Coalville, England is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 956 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Coalville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Coalville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
16°
Jun
19°
11°
Jul
20°
12°
Aug
20°
12°
Sep
19°
11°
Oct
14°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Coalville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
92±0.5°C97±0.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
86
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C97±1.0 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C89±3.5 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°21° to 21°±8%63% to 71% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 17°±6%0% to 6% chance
Mon±3°19° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°20° to 24°±1%3% to 4% chance
Wed±4°17° to 20°±19%6% to 25% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Coalville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:46
Sunset
19:11
Daylight
12h 25m

Common questions

What's the weather in Coalville today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Coalville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Coalville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Coalville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Coalville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Coalville (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Met Office at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Coalville?
July is typically the warmest month in Coalville, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Coalville get?
The coldest month in Coalville is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Coalville get?
Coalville sees roughly 956 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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