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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Colne weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Colne today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 14°, with a 36% chance of rain.

16°12°
14°10°
17°
18°12°
15°
17°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±5°
Met OfficeUKMO model
16°
Rain
Today 16°·Low 13°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Light rain
Today 15°·Low 12°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Drizzle
Today 16°·Low 12°·Rain 100%
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Colne weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for North West England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for North West England…

Colne weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Colne swings 16°C across the year, from 17°C highs in June to 1°C lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1287 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 3 days a year at 25°C or above, 44 frost nights, and rain on 191 days.

Warmest month
June
17°C average high
Coldest month
January
1°C average low
Wettest month
December
1287 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
20,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
88/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
3 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
44 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
191 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Colne’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Colne and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Colne hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Colne 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
16° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
14° 10°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
18° 12°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
15°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
17°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
17° 11°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
16° 10°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
15°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
20° 10°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
19° 13°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
21° 10°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 10°
±3°
Fri
Drizzle
16° 11°
models agree

Colne, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 17°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 1°C), with roughly 1287 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Colne right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Colne climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
11°
May
16°
Jun
17°
10°
Jul
17°
11°
Aug
17°
11°
Sep
16°
10°
Oct
12°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Colne?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C95±1.7 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
85
/100rank #2
88±0.6°C93±2.3 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C92±2.4 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 16°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°14° to 15°±26%10% to 36% chance
Mon±1°16° to 17°±17%3% to 20% chance
Tue±2°17° to 19°±50%3% to 53% chance
Wed±4°14° to 17°±37%16% to 53% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Colne

today, local time
Sunrise
06:48
Sunset
19:14
Daylight
12h 26m

Common questions

What's the weather in Colne today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Colne today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Colne today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Colne and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Colne?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Colne (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the Met Office at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Colne?
June is typically the warmest month in Colne, with average highs around 17°C.
How cold does Colne get?
The coldest month in Colne is January, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Colne get?
Colne sees roughly 1287 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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