Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather UKColwyn Bay
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Colwyn Bay weather

Loading live data…

Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 18° in Colwyn Bay today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 16°, with a 3% chance of rain.

18°14°
16°10°
20°11°
20°13°
16°
19°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
Met OfficeUKMO model
16°
Overcast
Feels 14° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 73%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Feels 13° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 77%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Overcast
Feels 12° · Wind 14 mph · Humidity 73%

Latest for Colwyn Bay: Met Office (UKMO model): 16° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 16° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 15° Overcast.

CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Colwyn Bay weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Wales

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Wales…

Colwyn Bay weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Colwyn Bay swings 15°C across the year, from 19°C highs in August to 4°C lows in January, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1477 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 4 days a year at 25°C or above, 7 frost nights, and rain on 195 days.

Warmest month
August
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
4°C average low
Wettest month
March
1477 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
29,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
4 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
7 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
195 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Colwyn Bay’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Colwyn Bay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Colwyn Bay hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Colwyn Bay 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
18° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° 10°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
20° 11°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
20° 13°
±4°
Wed
Light rain
16°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
19°
±5°
Fri
Drizzle
19° 12°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
18° 11°
±4°
Sun
Drizzle
18°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
21° 11°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
19° 13°
±3°
Wed
Drizzle
22° 11°
±8°
Thu
Drizzle
19° 11°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
16° 11°
models agree

Colwyn Bay, Wales is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 4°C), with roughly 1477 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Colwyn Bay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Colwyn Bay climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
16°
10°
Jun
18°
12°
Jul
18°
13°
Aug
19°
14°
Sep
18°
13°
Oct
15°
10°
Nov
11°
Dec
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Colwyn Bay?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C99±0.4 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
91
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C93±2.1 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
78
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C96±1.1 mph5374% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°18° to 18°±22%78% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 16°±1%2% to 3% chance
Mon±3°19° to 22°±1%2% to 3% chance
Tue±4°19° to 22°±37%2% to 39% chance
Wed±2°15° to 16°±21%29% to 50% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Colwyn Bay

today, local time
Sunrise
06:55
Sunset
19:21
Daylight
12h 26m

Common questions

What's the weather in Colwyn Bay today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Colwyn Bay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Colwyn Bay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Colwyn Bay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Colwyn Bay?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Colwyn Bay (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Colwyn Bay?
August is typically the warmest month in Colwyn Bay, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Colwyn Bay get?
The coldest month in Colwyn Bay is January, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Colwyn Bay get?
Colwyn Bay sees roughly 1477 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More UK weather