Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather UKEdinburgh
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Edinburgh weather

Loading live data…

Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Edinburgh today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 16°, with a 8% chance of rain.

15°12°
16°10°
18°10°
20°14°
15°10°
16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
Met OfficeUKMO model
16°
Drizzle
Today 16°·Low 12°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Light drizzle
Today 15°·Low 11°·Rain 98%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Light drizzle
Today 15°·Low 11°·Rain 84%
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Edinburgh weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Dumfries, Galloway, Lothian & Borders

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Dumfries, Galloway, Lothian & Borders…

Edinburgh weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Edinburgh swings 15°C across the year, from 18°C highs in July to 3°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1114 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 1 day a year at 25°C or above, 27 frost nights, and rain on 168 days.

Warmest month
July
18°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
October
1114 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
515,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
84/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
1 day
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
27 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
168 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Edinburgh’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Edinburgh and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Edinburgh in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Edinburgh, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

What are you doing?

Where are you going?

Edinburgh hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Edinburgh 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
15° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
20° 14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
16°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
18° 10°
±8°
Sat
Cloudy
18°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
18°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16° 12°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
17° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
16° 12°
models agree

Edinburgh, Scotland. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Edinburgh right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Edinburgh's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Edinburgh weather by month

what to expect in Edinburgh through the year

Here is Edinburgh's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Edinburgh by season.

Jan
Cold
Feb
Cool
Mar
Cool
Apr
11°
Cool
May
15°
Mild
Jun
17°
10°
Mild
Jul
18°
12°
Mild
Aug
18°
12°
Mild
Sep
16°
10°
Mild
Oct
13°
Cool
Wettest
Nov
Cool
Dec
Cool

What Edinburgh's weather is like through the year

Edinburgh runs from warm summers, with July highs near 18°C, to cool winters, when January lows sit around 3°C (a swing of about 15°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Edinburgh sees roughly 1114 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Edinburgh

The most comfortable time to visit Edinburgh is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Edinburgh?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
81±1.0°C98±0.8 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C96±1.4 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
81
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C95±1.7 mph6581% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Edinburgh, scoring 84/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 82. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 16°±14%84% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 16°±5%3% to 8% chance
Mon±1°18° to 19°±20%23% to 43% chance
Tue±1°19° to 21°models agree23% to 23% chance
Wed±2°14° to 16°±19%32% to 51% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Edinburgh

today, local time
Sunrise
06:52
Sunset
19:19
Daylight
12h 27m

Common questions

What's the weather in Edinburgh today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Edinburgh today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Edinburgh today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Edinburgh and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Edinburgh?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Edinburgh (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Edinburgh?
July is typically the warmest month in Edinburgh, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Edinburgh get?
The coldest month in Edinburgh is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Edinburgh get?
Edinburgh sees roughly 1114 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Edinburgh?
The most comfortable time to visit Edinburgh is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Edinburgh?
Rarely - Edinburgh very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

More UK weather