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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Enniskillen weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Enniskillen today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 15°, with a 100% chance of rain.

16°11°
15°11°
15°
21°14°
18°12°
15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
17°
Light rain
Today 17°·Low 11°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light rain
Today 16°·Low 12°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Heavy drizzle
Today 16°·Low 11°·Rain 100%
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Enniskillen weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Northern Ireland

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Northern Ireland…

Enniskillen weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Enniskillen swings 15°C across the year, from 18°C highs in June to 3°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1258 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 2 days a year at 25°C or above, 19 frost nights, and rain on 198 days.

Warmest month
June
18°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
July
1258 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
14,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
84/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
2 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
19 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
198 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Enniskillen’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Enniskillen and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Enniskillen hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Enniskillen 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
16° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
15° 11°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
15°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
21° 14°
±4°
Tue
Drizzle
18° 12°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
15°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
18°
±8°
Fri
Light drizzle
15° 11°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
14° 10°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
14°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
15° 10°
±2°
Wed
Drizzle
13° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
14°
models agree

Enniskillen, Northern Ireland is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1258 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Enniskillen right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Enniskillen climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
16°
Jun
18°
11°
Jul
17°
11°
Aug
18°
12°
Sep
17°
10°
Oct
14°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Enniskillen?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C95±1.5 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
81
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C94±2.0 mph6581% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C84±4.9 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°16° to 17°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 16°±37%63% to 100% chance
Sun±1°15° to 15°±15%10% to 25% chance
Mon±4°19° to 22°±25%13% to 38% chance
Tue±4°16° to 20°±7%29% to 36% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Enniskillen

today, local time
Sunrise
07:08
Sunset
19:39
Daylight
12h 31m

Common questions

What's the weather in Enniskillen today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Enniskillen today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Enniskillen today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Enniskillen and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Enniskillen?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Enniskillen (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the Met Office at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Enniskillen?
June is typically the warmest month in Enniskillen, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Enniskillen get?
The coldest month in Enniskillen is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Enniskillen get?
Enniskillen sees roughly 1258 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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