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CheckWeather UKHolyhead
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Holyhead weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Holyhead today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 15°, with a 2% chance of rain.

17°15°
15°13°
17°14°
17°15°
15°10°
17°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low 15°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Drizzle
Today 17°·Low 15°·Rain 67%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Light drizzle
Today 17°·Low 14°·Rain 94%
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Holyhead weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Wales

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Wales…

Holyhead weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Holyhead swings 13°C across the year, from 18°C highs in June to 5°C lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1359 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 3 days a year at 25°C or above, 8 frost nights, and rain on 187 days.

Warmest month
June
18°C average high
Coldest month
January
5°C average low
Wettest month
January
1359 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
11,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
3 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
8 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
187 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Holyhead’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Holyhead and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Holyhead hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Holyhead 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
15° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
17° 14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
17° 15°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
15° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
17° 10°
models agree
Fri
Heavy drizzle
17° 14°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
16° 13°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
16° 11°
±2°
Mon
Cloudy
18° 15°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
17° 14°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
20° 14°
±5°
Thu
Drizzle
18° 14°
models agree
Fri
Light rain
16° 12°
±3°

Holyhead, Wales is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 5°C), with roughly 1359 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Holyhead right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Holyhead climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
16°
10°
Jun
18°
12°
Jul
17°
13°
Aug
18°
14°
Sep
17°
13°
Oct
14°
10°
Nov
11°
Dec
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Holyhead?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C97±0.9 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
89
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C94±1.9 mph8994% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #3
72±1.5°C92±2.6 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°17° to 17°±27%67% to 94% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 16°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±1°17° to 18°±1%7% to 8% chance
Tuemodels agree17° to 17°±14%5% to 19% chance
Wedmodels agree15° to 15°±35%19% to 54% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Holyhead

today, local time
Sunrise
06:59
Sunset
19:24
Daylight
12h 25m

Common questions

What's the weather in Holyhead today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Holyhead today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Holyhead today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Holyhead and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Holyhead?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Holyhead (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Met Office at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Holyhead?
June is typically the warmest month in Holyhead, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Holyhead get?
The coldest month in Holyhead is January, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Holyhead get?
Holyhead sees roughly 1359 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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