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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Ilkley weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Ilkley today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 17°, with a 100% chance of rain.

16°11°
17°13°
14°10°
19°
20°14°
18°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±6°
Met OfficeUKMO model
15°
Partly cloudy
Feels 13° · Wind 13 mph · Humidity 79%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Overcast
Feels 10° · Wind 17 mph · Humidity 88%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Partly cloudy
Feels 9° · Wind 19 mph · Humidity 83%

Latest for Ilkley: Met Office (UKMO model): 15° Partly cloudy · European (ECMWF): 14° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Partly cloudy.

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Ilkley weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Yorkshire & Humber

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Yorkshire & Humber…

Ilkley weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Ilkley swings 16°C across the year, from 18°C highs in June to 2°C lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1105 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 4 days a year at 25°C or above, 39 frost nights, and rain on 169 days.

Warmest month
June
18°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
December
1105 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
15,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
4 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
39 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
169 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Ilkley’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Ilkley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Ilkley hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Ilkley 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
17° 13°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
14° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
20° 14°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
18° 11°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 10°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
22° 11°
±4°
Sat
Drizzle
18° 11°
±4°
Sun
Drizzle
15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
17° 11°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
15°
models agree

Ilkley, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1105 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Ilkley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Ilkley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
11°
May
16°
Jun
18°
10°
Jul
18°
11°
Aug
18°
12°
Sep
17°
10°
Oct
13°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Ilkley?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C98±0.5 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
87
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C96±1.4 mph8994% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
71±1.6°C91±2.9 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 16°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°17° to 17°±11%89% to 100% chance
Sun±1°14° to 15°±7%0% to 7% chance
Mon±1°18° to 19°±5%3% to 8% chance
Tue±3°18° to 21°±3%8% to 11% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ilkley

today, local time
Sunrise
06:45
Sunset
19:16
Daylight
12h 31m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ilkley today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Ilkley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ilkley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Ilkley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ilkley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ilkley (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the Met Office at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ilkley?
June is typically the warmest month in Ilkley, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Ilkley get?
The coldest month in Ilkley is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Ilkley get?
Ilkley sees roughly 1105 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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