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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Lee weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 20° in Lee today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 22°, with a 31% chance of rain.

20°12°
22°16°
20°15°
23°14°
23°16°
23°16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Sundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±6°
Met OfficeUKMO model
20°
Overcast
Feels 20° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 81%
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Partly cloudy
Feels 19° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 76%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Overcast
Feels 18° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 81%

Latest for Lee: Met Office (UKMO model): 20° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 19° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 19° Overcast.

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Lee weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for London & South East England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for London & South East England…

Lee weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Lee swings 20°C across the year, from 22°C highs in August to 2°C lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 836 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 18 days a year at 25°C or above, 3 of them at 30°C or above, 25 frost nights, and rain on 135 days.

Warmest month
August
22°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
September
836 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
15,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
18 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
25 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
135 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Lee’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Lee and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lee hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lee 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
20° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
22° 16°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
20° 15°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
23° 14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
23° 16°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
23° 16°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
23° 15°
±6°
Fri
Clear
26° 14°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
24° 16°
±7°
Sun
Cloudy
20° 14°
models agree
Mon
Clear
21° 13°
±4°
Tue
Clear
24° 12°
±2°
Wed
Partly cloudy
23° 16°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
17° 13°
±3°

Lee, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 836 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Lee right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Lee climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
11°
Apr
13°
May
17°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
21°
13°
Oct
16°
10°
Nov
11°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Lee?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C96±1.3 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C96±1.3 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
79
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C96±1.3 mph5877% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°19° to 20°±6%6% to 12% chance
Tomorrow±3°21° to 23°±20%11% to 31% chance
Sun±1°20° to 21°±5%19% to 24% chance
Mon±2°23° to 25°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±5°20° to 26°±6%0% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lee

today, local time
Sunrise
06:39
Sunset
19:07
Daylight
12h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lee today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Lee today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lee today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Lee and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lee?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lee (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lee?
August is typically the warmest month in Lee, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Lee get?
The coldest month in Lee is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Lee get?
Lee sees roughly 836 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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