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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Liverpool weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 18° in Liverpool today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 16°, with a 23% chance of rain.

18°15°
16°13°
19°12°
20°14°
16°13°
18°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
Met OfficeUKMO model
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low 16°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Light drizzle
Today 17°·Low 16°·Rain 92%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 15°·Rain 100%
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Liverpool weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for North West England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for North West England…

Liverpool weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Liverpool swings 16°C across the year, from 19°C highs in June to 3°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1274 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 8 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 18 frost nights, and rain on 185 days.

Warmest month
June
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
July
1274 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
497,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
8 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
18 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
185 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Liverpool’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Liverpool and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Liverpool in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Liverpool, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

What are you doing?

Where are you going?

Liverpool hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Liverpool 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
18° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
19° 12°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
20° 14°
±3°
Wed
Light rain
16° 13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18° 10°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
18° 12°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
19° 12°
±8°
Sun
Drizzle
20° 11°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
17° 13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
17° 10°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
17° 14°
models agree

Liverpool, England. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Liverpool right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Liverpool's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Liverpool weather by month

what to expect in Liverpool through the year

Here is Liverpool's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Liverpool by season.

Jan
Cool
Feb
10°
Cool
Mar
10°
Cool
Apr
12°
Cool
May
17°
10°
Mild
Jun
19°
12°
Mild
Jul
19°
13°
Mild
Wettest
Aug
19°
13°
Mild
Sep
18°
12°
Mild
Oct
15°
Mild
Nov
10°
Cool
Dec
Cool

What Liverpool's weather is like through the year

Liverpool runs from warm summers, with June highs near 19°C, to cool winters, when January lows sit around 3°C (a swing of about 16°C across the year). July is usually the wettest month, and Liverpool sees roughly 1274 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Liverpool

The most comfortable time to visit Liverpool is usually May, June, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Liverpool?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
81±1.1°C92±2.4 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
90
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C96±1.4 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
84
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C94±1.9 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Liverpool, scoring 90/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 90. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°17° to 19°±8%92% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 16°±16%7% to 23% chance
Mon±3°18° to 20°models agree6% to 6% chance
Tue±3°18° to 21°±6%2% to 8% chance
Wed±2°16° to 17°±34%13% to 47% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Liverpool

today, local time
Sunrise
06:52
Sunset
19:18
Daylight
12h 26m

Common questions

What's the weather in Liverpool today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Liverpool today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Liverpool today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Liverpool and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Liverpool?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Liverpool (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Liverpool?
June is typically the warmest month in Liverpool, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Liverpool get?
The coldest month in Liverpool is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Liverpool get?
Liverpool sees roughly 1274 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Liverpool?
The most comfortable time to visit Liverpool is usually May, June, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Liverpool?
Rarely - Liverpool very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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