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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Matlock weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 19° in Matlock today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 16°, with a 8% chance of rain.

19°14°
16°
20°
21°12°
18°10°
19°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±5°
Met OfficeUKMO model
20°
Light drizzle
Today 20°·Low 14°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low 14°·Rain 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Light drizzle
Today 20°·Low 14°·Rain 86%
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Matlock weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for East Midlands

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for East Midlands…

Matlock weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Matlock swings 17°C across the year, from 19°C highs in August to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1036 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 7 days a year at 25°C or above, 34 frost nights, and rain on 158 days.

Warmest month
August
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
1036 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
15,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
93/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
7 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
34 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
158 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Matlock’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Matlock and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Matlock hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Matlock 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
19° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
20°
±3°
Tue
Fog
21° 12°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
18° 10°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
19°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
20° 11°
±9°
Sat
Cloudy
18° 11°
±7°
Sun
Cloudy
18° 10°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
23° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 12°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
23° 10°
±9°
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±2°
Fri
Drizzle
18° 12°
±3°

Matlock, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1036 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Matlock right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Matlock climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
11°
May
16°
Jun
18°
10°
Jul
18°
11°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
17°
11°
Oct
13°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Matlock?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C95±1.7 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
79
/100rank #2
83±1.0°C94±1.7 mph6581% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
71±1.6°C92±2.4 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°19° to 20°models agree86% to 86% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 17°±5%3% to 8% chance
Mon±3°19° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°19° to 24°±3%0% to 3% chance
Wed±3°17° to 20°±19%6% to 25% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Matlock

today, local time
Sunrise
06:46
Sunset
19:12
Daylight
12h 26m

Common questions

What's the weather in Matlock today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Matlock today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Matlock today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Matlock and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Matlock?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Matlock (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Met Office at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Matlock?
August is typically the warmest month in Matlock, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Matlock get?
The coldest month in Matlock is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Matlock get?
Matlock sees roughly 1036 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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