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CheckWeather UKNewcastle under Lyme
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Newcastle under Lyme weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 18° in Newcastle under Lyme today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 16°, with a 4% chance of rain.

18°13°
16°
20°
20°13°
17°11°
18°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low 14°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 14°·Rain 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low 12°·Rain 90%
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Newcastle under Lyme weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for West Midlands

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for West Midlands…

Newcastle under Lyme weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Newcastle under Lyme swings 18°C across the year, from 19°C highs in June to 1°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1113 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 8 days a year at 25°C or above, 38 frost nights, and rain on 168 days.

Warmest month
June
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
1°C average low
Wettest month
October
1113 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
128,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
93/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
8 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
38 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
168 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Newcastle under Lyme’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Newcastle under Lyme and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Newcastle under Lyme hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Newcastle under Lyme 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
18° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
20°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
20° 13°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
17° 11°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
18°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
18°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
18°
±9°
Sun
Light drizzle
20°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
22° 11°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 12°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 11°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
17° 13°
±4°

Newcastle under Lyme, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 1°C), with roughly 1113 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Newcastle under Lyme right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Newcastle under Lyme climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
11°
May
16°
Jun
19°
10°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
14°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Newcastle under Lyme?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±0.7 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
91
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C96±1.1 mph8994% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C91±2.7 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°18° to 19°models agree90% to 90% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 16°±1%3% to 4% chance
Mon±3°19° to 22°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±5°18° to 22°±13%0% to 13% chance
Wed±4°16° to 19°±37%6% to 43% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Newcastle under Lyme

today, local time
Sunrise
06:49
Sunset
19:14
Daylight
12h 25m

Common questions

What's the weather in Newcastle under Lyme today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Newcastle under Lyme today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Newcastle under Lyme today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Newcastle under Lyme and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Newcastle under Lyme?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Newcastle under Lyme (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Met Office at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Newcastle under Lyme?
June is typically the warmest month in Newcastle under Lyme, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Newcastle under Lyme get?
The coldest month in Newcastle under Lyme is January, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Newcastle under Lyme get?
Newcastle under Lyme sees roughly 1113 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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