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CheckWeather UKNewquay
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Newquay weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 18° in Newquay today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 18°, with a 57% chance of rain.

18°16°
18°14°
20°11°
20°11°
18°13°
20°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 17°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 17°·Rain 82%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 15°·Rain 34%
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Newquay weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for South West England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for South West England…

Newquay weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Newquay swings 14°C across the year, from 19°C highs in August to 5°C lows in January, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1467 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 3 days a year at 25°C or above, 4 frost nights, and rain on 193 days.

Warmest month
August
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
5°C average low
Wettest month
March
1467 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
20,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
85/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
3 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
4 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
193 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Newquay’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Newquay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Newquay hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Newquay 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
18° 16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
18° 14°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
20° 11°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
20° 11°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
18° 13°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 11°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 14°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
18° 13°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
18° 13°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
20° 13°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
20° 13°
±5°
Thu
Light rain
18° 14°
models agree
Fri
Light rain
16° 13°
±5°

Newquay, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 5°C), with roughly 1467 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Newquay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Newquay climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
11°
Mar
11°
Apr
12°
May
15°
10°
Jun
18°
13°
Jul
18°
14°
Aug
19°
15°
Sep
18°
13°
Oct
16°
12°
Nov
12°
Dec
11°

Which forecast is most accurate in Newquay?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C94±2.0 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
71
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C95±1.5 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
68
/100rank #3
90±0.6°C94±1.9 mph2458% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree18° to 18°±48%34% to 82% chance
Tomorrow±1°17° to 18°±9%48% to 57% chance
Mon±3°18° to 21°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±3°19° to 21°±4%0% to 4% chance
Wed±4°17° to 21°±35%0% to 35% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Newquay

today, local time
Sunrise
07:01
Sunset
19:25
Daylight
12h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Newquay today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Newquay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Newquay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Newquay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Newquay?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Newquay (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 71. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Newquay?
August is typically the warmest month in Newquay, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Newquay get?
The coldest month in Newquay is January, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Newquay get?
Newquay sees roughly 1467 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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