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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Newtownards weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Newtownards today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 16°, with a 3% chance of rain.

17°12°
16°10°
20°13°
18°14°
15°11°
17°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
Met OfficeUKMO model
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low 13°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low 12°·Rain 50%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low 10°·Rain 79%
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Newtownards weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Northern Ireland

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Northern Ireland…

Newtownards weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Newtownards swings 14°C across the year, from 18°C highs in June to 4°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1064 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 1 day a year at 25°C or above, 5 frost nights, and rain on 171 days.

Warmest month
June
18°C average high
Coldest month
January
4°C average low
Wettest month
July
1064 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
29,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
1 day
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
5 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
171 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Newtownards’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Newtownards and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Newtownards hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Newtownards 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
17° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 13°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
18° 14°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
15° 11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
17° 11°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
17° 11°
±3°
Sat
Partly cloudy
14°
±3°
Sun
Drizzle
16°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
16° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
17° 12°
±3°
Thu
Light rain
17° 11°
models agree
Fri
Light rain
15°
models agree

Newtownards, Northern Ireland is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 4°C), with roughly 1064 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Newtownards right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Newtownards climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
11°
May
16°
10°
Jun
18°
11°
Jul
17°
12°
Aug
18°
12°
Sep
17°
11°
Oct
14°
10°
Nov
10°
Dec
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Newtownards?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
90±0.5°C97±1.1 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C95±1.6 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
79
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C91±2.8 mph5877% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°±29%50% to 79% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 17°±2%1% to 3% chance
Mon±5°17° to 22°±4%10% to 14% chance
Tue±4°17° to 20°±6%42% to 48% chance
Wed±1°14° to 15°±10%39% to 49% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Newtownards

today, local time
Sunrise
07:02
Sunset
19:29
Daylight
12h 27m

Common questions

What's the weather in Newtownards today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Newtownards today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Newtownards today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Newtownards and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Newtownards?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Newtownards (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Newtownards?
June is typically the warmest month in Newtownards, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Newtownards get?
The coldest month in Newtownards is January, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Newtownards get?
Newtownards sees roughly 1064 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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