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CheckWeather UKStonehaven
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Stonehaven weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Stonehaven today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 16°, with a 3% chance of rain.

16°12°
16°
22°
20°13°
15°
15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low 11°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low 12°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low 12°·Rain 1%
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Stonehaven weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Grampian

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Grampian…

Stonehaven weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Stonehaven swings 15°C across the year, from 17°C highs in July to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1132 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 0 days a year at 25°C or above, 33 frost nights, and rain on 166 days.

Warmest month
July
17°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
1132 mm a year
Comfortable
3 months
June, July and August
Residents
11,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
87/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
0 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
33 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
166 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Stonehaven’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Stonehaven and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Stonehaven hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Stonehaven 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
16° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
22°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
15°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
18° 10°
±3°
Sat
Partly cloudy
14°
±3°
Sun
Drizzle
15°
±2°
Mon
Drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 10°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
16°
±4°

Stonehaven, Scotland is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 17°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1132 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Stonehaven right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Stonehaven climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
14°
Jun
16°
Jul
17°
11°
Aug
17°
11°
Sep
15°
Oct
12°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Stonehaven?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C99±0.4 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
78
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C96±1.1 mph5374% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C95±1.5 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°16° to 17°±3%1% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 16°±3%0% to 3% chance
Mon±2°21° to 23°models agree81% to 81% chance
Tue±1°20° to 21°±12%27% to 39% chance
Wed±1°15° to 16°±16%45% to 61% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Stonehaven

today, local time
Sunrise
06:47
Sunset
19:16
Daylight
12h 29m

Common questions

What's the weather in Stonehaven today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Stonehaven today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Stonehaven today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Stonehaven and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Stonehaven?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Stonehaven (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the Met Office at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Stonehaven?
July is typically the warmest month in Stonehaven, with average highs around 17°C.
How cold does Stonehaven get?
The coldest month in Stonehaven is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Stonehaven get?
Stonehaven sees roughly 1132 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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