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CheckWeather UKTredegar
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Tredegar weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Tredegar today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 17°, with a 100% chance of rain.

14°
17°12°
17°10°
20°11°
19°13°
18°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±7°
Met OfficeUKMO model
14°
Mainly clear
Feels 12° · Wind 13 mph · Humidity 90%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Partly cloudy
Feels 11° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 87%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Overcast
Feels 10° · Wind 14 mph · Humidity 89%

Latest for Tredegar: Met Office (UKMO model): 14° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): 14° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Overcast.

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Tredegar weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Wales

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Wales…

Tredegar weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Tredegar swings 16°C across the year, from 17°C highs in June to 1°C lows in January, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1696 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 4 days a year at 25°C or above, 43 frost nights, and rain on 175 days.

Warmest month
June
17°C average high
Coldest month
January
1°C average low
Wettest month
March
1696 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
15,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
4 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
43 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
175 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Tredegar’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Tredegar and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Tredegar hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Tredegar 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
17° 12°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
17° 10°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
20° 11°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
19° 13°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
18° 11°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
18° 10°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 12°
±7°
Sat
Light drizzle
17° 11°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
18°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
16° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
15°
±3°

Tredegar, Wales is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 17°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 1°C), with roughly 1696 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Tredegar right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Tredegar climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
10°
May
15°
Jun
17°
10°
Jul
17°
10°
Aug
17°
11°
Sep
16°
10°
Oct
13°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Tredegar?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±0.5 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
89
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C95±1.5 mph8994% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
66±1.9°C88±3.8 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°14° to 15°±49%16% to 65% chance
Tomorrow±1°17° to 18°±15%85% to 100% chance
Sun±2°16° to 18°±21%10% to 31% chance
Mon±5°18° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°18° to 22°±11%3% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Tredegar

today, local time
Sunrise
06:52
Sunset
19:20
Daylight
12h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Tredegar today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Tredegar today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Tredegar today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Tredegar and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tredegar?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Tredegar (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the Met Office at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tredegar?
June is typically the warmest month in Tredegar, with average highs around 17°C.
How cold does Tredegar get?
The coldest month in Tredegar is January, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Tredegar get?
Tredegar sees roughly 1696 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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